#  Publications To Date of China 2030/2050, Supported by the Harvard Global Institute  

 



 As of November 1, 2019

1. Cao, Jing, Mun S. Ho, Dale W. Jorgenson, and Chris P. Nielsen. 2019. **[“China emissions trading system and an ETS-carbon tax hybrid.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988319301434?via=ihub)**  ***Energy Economics***, 81, pp. 741-753.
2. Cao, Jing, Mun S. Ho, Wenhao Hu, and Dale W. Jorgenson. Submitted. **“Urban household consumption in China.”**  ***European Economic Review***.
3. Cao, Jing, Mun S. Ho, Wenhao Hu, and Dale W. Jorgenson. Submitted. **“Household consumption in China.”**  ***China Economic Review***.
4. Cao, Jing, Mun S. Ho, Wenhao Hu, Dale W. Jorgenson, and Qiong Zhang. Submitted. **“Welfare and inequality measures for China based on consumption.”**  ***International Economic Review.***
5. Cao, Jing, Mun Sing Ho, Yating Li, Richard G. Newell, and William A. Pizer. 2019. **[“Chinese residential electricity consumption estimation and forecast using micro-data.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0928765516303657)**  ***Resource and Energy Economics***, 56, pp. 6-27.
6. Chen, Faan, Jiaorong Wu, Xiaohong Chen, and Chris Nielsen. Submitted. **“Disentangling the impacts of the built environment and self-selection on travel behavior: An empirical study in the context of different housing types.”**  ***Journal of Transport Geography.***
7. Chen, Shi, Xi Lu, Yufei Miao, Yu Deng, Chris P. Nielsen, Noah Elbot, Yuanchen Wang, Kathryn G. Logan, Michael B. McElroy, and Jiming Hao. 2019. **[“The potential of photovoltaics to power the Belt and Road Initiative.”](https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(19)30275-2)**  ***Joule***, 3, pp. 1-18.
8. Chen, Xinyu, Jiajun Lv, Michael B. McElroy, Xingning Han, Chris Nielsen, and Jinyu Wen. 2018. [**“Power system capacity expansion under higher penetration of renewables considering flexibility constraints and low carbon policies."**](https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8344488) ***IEEE Transactions on Power Systems***, 33, 6, pp. 6240-6253.
9. Chen, Xinyu, Junling Huang, Qing Yang, Chris P. Nielsen, Dongbo Shi, and Michael B. McElroy. 2018. **[“Changing carbon content of Chinese coal and implications for emissions of CO2.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652618314690)**  ***Journal of Cleaner Production***, 194, pp. 150-157.
10. Chen, Xinyu, Michael B. McElroy, and Chongqing Kang. 2017. **[“Integrated energy systems for higher wind penetration in China: Formulation, implementation, and impacts.”](https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8003309?reload=true)**  ***IEEE Transactions on Power Systems***, 33, 2, pp. 1309-1319.
11. Chen, Xinyu, Zhiwei Xu, Chris P. Nielsen, and Michael B. McElroy. 2018. **[“Impacts of fleet types and charging modes for electric vehicles on emissions under different penetrations of wind power.”](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-018-0133-0)**  ***Nature Energy***, 3, pp. 413-421.
12. Chen, Xinyu, Michael B. McElroy, Qiuwei Wu, Yinbiao Shu, and Yusheng Xue. 2018. **[“Transition towards higher penetration of renewables: An overview of interlinked technical, environmental and socio-economic challenges.”](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40565-018-0438-9)**  ***Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy***, 7, 1, pp. 1-8.
13. Dayalu, Archana, J. William Munger, Yuxuan Wang, Steven C. Wofsy, Yu Zhao, Thomas Nehrkorn, Chris P. Nielsen, Michael B. McElroy, and Rachel Y.-W. Chang. Submitted. **[“Carbon dioxide emissions in northern China based on atmospheric observations from 2005 to 2009.”](https://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/acp-2018-632/)**  ***Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.*** [Manuscript available on ACPD for discussion.](https://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/acp-2018-632/)
14. Dayalu, Archana. 2017. **[“Exploring the wide net of human energy systems: From carbon dioxide emissions in China to hydraulic fracturing chemicals usage in the United States."](/publications/exploring-wide-net-human-energy-systems-carbon-dioxide-emissions-china)**  **Ph.D. diss.** Harvard University Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences.
15. Dayalu, Archana, William Munger, Steven Wofsy, Yuxuan Wang, Thomas Nehrkorn, Yu Zhao, Michael McElroy, Chris Nielsen, and Kristina Luus. 2018. **[“Assessing biotic contributions to CO2 fluxes in northern China using the Vegetation, Photosynthesis and Respiration Model (VPRM-CHINA) and observations from 2005 to 2009.”](https://www.biogeosciences.net/15/6713/2018/)**  ***Biogeosciences***, 15, pp. 6713-6729.
16. Freire-González, Jaume, and Mun S. Ho. 2018. **[“Environmental fiscal reform and the double dividend: evidence from a dynamic general equilibrium model.”](https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/2/501/htm)**  ***Sustainability***, 10, 2.
17. Freire-González, Jaume, and Mun S. Ho. 2019. **[“Carbon taxes and the double dividend hypothesis in a recursive-dynamic CGE model for Spain.”](/publications/carbon-taxes-and-double-dividend-hypothesis-dynamic-cge-framework)** ***Economic Systems Research***, 31:2, pp. 267-284.
18. Gao, Meng, Yihui Ding, Shaojie Song, Xiao Lu, Xinyu Chen, and Michael B. McElroy. 2018. **[“Secular decrease of wind power potential in India associated with warming Indian Ocean.”](http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/4/12/eaat5256)**  ***Science Advances***, 4, 12, eaat5256.
19. Gao, Meng, Gufran Beig, Shaojie Song, Hongliang Zhang, Jianlin Hu, Qi Ying, Fengchao Liang, Yang Liu, Haikun Wang, Xiao Lu, Tong Zhu, Gregory Carmichael, Chris P. Nielsen, and Michael B. McElroy. 2018. **[“The impact of power generation emissions on ambient PM2.5 pollution and human health in China and India.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412018313369?dgcid=rss_sd_all)**  ***Environment International***, 121, Part 1, pp. 250-259.
20. Gao, Meng, Peter Sherman, Shaojie Song, Yueyue Yu, Zhiwei Wu, and Michael B. McElroy. Submitted. **“Seasonal prediction of Indian wintertime aerosol pollution using the ocean memory effect.”**  ***Science Advances***, 5, 7, eaav4157.
21. Gao, Meng, Zirui Liu, Bo Zheng, Dongsheng Ji, Peter Sherman, Shaojie Song, Jinyuan Xin, Cheng Liu, Yuesi Wang, Qiang Zhang, Zifa Wang, Gregory R. Carmichael, and Michael B. McElroy. Submitted. **“China's Clean Air Action has suppressed unfavorable influences of climate on wintertime PM2.5 concentrations in Beijing since 2002.”** ***Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.***  [Manuscript available on ACPD for discussion.](https://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/acp-2019-325/)
22. Guan, Chenghe, and Richard B. Peiser. 2018. **[“Accessibility, urban form, and property value: Toward a sustainable urban spatial structure.”](https://www.jtlu.org/index.php/jtlu/article/view/1318/1162)**  ***Journal of Transport and Land Use***, 11,1, pp. 1057-1080.
23. Guan, Chenghe. 2018. **[“Urban form and digitalization of urban design.”](http://www.upi-planning.org/EN/Magazine/Show.aspx?ID=47301)**  ***Urban Planning International***, 33, 1, pp. 22-27.
24. Guan, Chenghe. 2019. **[“Spatial distribution of high-rise buildings and its relationship to public transit development in Shanghai.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0967070X16307259)**  ***Transport Policy***, 81, pp. 371-380.
25. Guan, Chenghe, Sumeeta Srinivasan, and Chris P. Nielsen. 2019. **[“Does neighborhood form influence low-carbon transportation in China?”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920918307788?via=ihub)**  ***Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment***, 67, pp. 406-429.
26. Guan, Chenghe, and Ann Forsyth. Submitted. **“The influence of urban form and socio-demographics on active transport: a 40 neighborhoods study in Chengdu, China.”**  ***Urban Studies*.**
27. Guan, Chenghe, and Peter G. Rowe. Submitted. **“On China’s urban block community.”**  ***Journal of Urban Design***.
28. Guo, Meiyu, Xi Lu, Chris P. Nielsen, Michael B. McElroy, Wenrui Shi, Yuntian Chen, and Xuan Yu. 2016. **[“Prospects for shale gas production in China: Implications for water demand.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032116304580)** ***Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews***, 66, December, pp. 742-750.
29. Hammitt, James K., Fangli Geng, Xiaoqi Guo, and Chris P. Nielsen. 2019. **[“Valuing mortality risk in China: Comparing stated-preference estimates from 2005 and 2016.”](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11166-019-09305-5)**  ***Journal of Risk & Uncertainty***, 58, 2-3, pp. 167-168.
30. Han, Mengyao, Bo Zhang, Yuqing Zhang, and Chenghe Guan. 2019. **[“Agricultural CH4 and N2O emissions of major economies: Consumptions- vs. production-based perspectives.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652618334188?via=ihub)**  ***Journal of Cleaner Production***, 210, pp. 276-286.
31. Han, Xingning, Xinyu Chen, Michael B. McElroy, Shiwu Liao, and Chris P. Nielsen. 2019. **[“Modeling formulation and validation for accelerated simulation and flexibility assessment on large scale power systems under higher renewable penetrations.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918318683)**  ***Applied Energy***, 237, pp. 145-154.
32. Hu, Wenhao, Jing Cao, and Mun S Ho. 2019. [**“Energy consumption of urban households in China.**”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X1930104X)  ***China Economic Review***, 58.
33. Lu, Tianguang, Xinyu Chen, Michael B. McElroy, Chris P. Nielsen, Qiuwei Wu, and Qian Ai. Submitted. ***“*****A Reinforcement Learning-Based Decision System for Electricity Pricing Plan Selection by Smart Grid End Users.” *IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid***.
34. Lu, Xi, and Michael B. McElroy. 2017. **[“Global potential for wind generated electricity.”](https://www.elsevier.com/books/wind-energy-engineering/letcher/978-0-12-809451-8)**  ***In Wind Energy Engineering: A Handbook for Onshore and Offshore Wind Turbines***, edited by Trevor M. Letcher. Amsterdam: Elsevier.
35. Lu, Xi, Liang Cao, Haikun Wang, Wei Peng, Jia Xing, Shuxiao Wang, Siyi Cai, Bo Shen, Qing Yang, Chris P. Nielsen, and Michael B. McElroy. 2019. **[“Gasification of coal and biomass: a net carbon-negative power source for environmental-friendly electricity generation in China."](https://www.pnas.org/content/116/17/8206)**  ***Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences***, 116, 17, pp. 8206-8213.
36. Lu, Xi, Michael B. McElroy, Wei Peng, Shiyang Liu, Chris P. Nielsen, and Haikun Wang. 2016. **[“Challenges faced by China compared with the US in developing wind power.”](https://www.nature.com/articles/nenergy201661)**  ***Nature Energy***, 1, 6.
37. Lv, Jiajun, Xinyu Chen, Michael B. McElroy, Chongqing Kang, Mark O’Malley, Qiuwei Wu, and Zhaohong Bie. Submitted. **“The optimal investment of flexible heating sources for better integrating wind power in CHP intensive energy systems.”**  ***IEEE Transactions on Power Systems***.
38. McElroy, Michael B. 2016. ***[Energy and Climate: Vision for the Future](https://global.oup.com/academic/product/energy-and-climate-9780190490331?cc=us&lang=en&).*** 1st ed. New York: Oxford University Press.
39. McElroy, Michael B. 2018. **[“Can China address air pollution and climate change?.”](http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674979406)**  ***In The China Questions: Critical Insights into a Rising Power***, edited by Jennifer Rudolph and Michael Szonyi. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
40. McElroy, Michael B., and Xinyu Chen. 2017. **[“Wind and solar power in the United States: Status and prospects.”](https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7874615?reload=true)**  ***Chinese Society for Electrical Engineering (CSEE) Journal of Power and Energy Systems***, 3, 1.
41. McElroy, Michael B., Xinyu Chen, and Yawen Deng. 2018. **[“The missing money problem: incorporation of increased resources from wind in a representative US power market.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148118302817)**  ***Renewable Energy***, 126, pp. 126-136.
42. Moch, Jonathan M., Eleni Dovrou, Loretta J. Mickley, Frank N. Keutsch, Yuan Cheng, Daniel J. Jacob, Jingkun Jiang, Meng Li, J. William Munger, Xiaohui Qiao, and Qiang Zhang. 2018. **[“Contribution of hydroxymethane sulfonate to ambient particulate matter: A potential explanation for high particulate sulfur during severe winter haze in Beijing.”](https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2018GL079309)**  ***Geophysical Research Letters***, 45, pp. 11969-11979.
43. Sheng, Jiangxiong, Shaojie Song, Yuzhong Zhang, Ronald G. Prinn, and Greet Janssens-Maenhout. 2019. **[“Bottom-up estimates of coal mine methane emissions in China: A gridded inventory, emission factors, and trends.”](https://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/acs.estlett.9b00294)**  ***Environmental Science and Technology Letters***, 6, 8, pp. 473-478.
44. Sherman, Peter, Xinyu Chen, and Michael B. McElroy. In press. “**Offshore wind: an opportunity for cost-competitive decarbonization of China’s energy economy.”**  ***Science Advances***.
45. Sherman, Peter, Meng Gao, Shaojie Song, Patrick Ohiomoba, Alex Archibald, and Michael B. McElroy. 2019. **[“The influence of dynamics and emissions changes on China’s wintertime haze.”](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0035.1)**  ***Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology*****.**
46. Sherman, Peter, Xinyu Chen, and Michael B. McElroy. 2017. **[“Wind-generated electricity in China: Decreasing potential, inter-annual variability, and association with climate change.”](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-16073-2)**  ***Nature Scientific Reports***, 7, 16294.
47. Song, Shaojie, Meng Gao, Weiqi Xu, Jingyuan Shao, Guoliang Shi, Shuxiao Wang, Yuxuan Wang, Yele Sun, and Michael McElroy. 2018. **[“Fine particle pH for Beijing winter haze as inferred from different thermodynamic equilibrium models.”](https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/18/7423/2018/acp-18-7423-2018.html)**  ***Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics***, 18, pp. 7423-7438.
48. Song, S.J., M. Gao, W.Q. Xu, Y.L. Sun, D.R. Worsnop, J.T. Jayne, Y.Z. Zhang, L. Zhu, M. Li, Z. Zhou, C.L. Cheng, Y.B. Lv, Y. Wang, W. Peng, X.B. Xu, N. Lin, Y.X. Wang, S.X. Wang, J.W. Munger, D. Jacob, and M.B. McElroy. 2019. **[“Possible heterogeneous hydroxymethanesulfonate (HMS) chemistry in northern China winter haze and implications for rapid sulfate formation.”](https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/19/1357/2019/acp-19-1357-2019.html)**  ***Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics***, 19, pp. 1357-1371.
49. Srinivasan, Sumeeta, Chenghe Guan and Chris P. Nielsen. 2019. **[“Built environment, income and travel behavior: Changes in Chengdu 2005-2016.”](https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/15568318.2019.1625088?scroll=top&needAccess=true)**  ***International Journal of Sustainable Transport***.
50. Timilsina, Govinda R., Jing Cao, and Mun S. Ho. 2018. **[“Carbon tax for achieving China's NDC: Simulations of some design features using a CGE model.”](https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S2010007818500069)**  ***Climate Change Economics***, 9, 3.
51. Wang, Haikun, Yanxu Zhang, Xi Lu, Weimo Zhu, Chris P. Nielsen, Jun Bi, and Michael B. McElroy. 2017. [**“Trade‐driven relocation of air pollution and health impacts in China.”**](https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-00918-5.epdf?author_access_token=1ibCjzEowkvAM38EFEeJK9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0N3Q-oW7VIfWcDm2Zc-xjr4FLOANsbsUuZ3pw6LpujzBrIO2AaR1DUR4dggK_V1zGebFIYSNUSlDVUZYfrGhPV6ScivUsy9F8QJiXoOue16Dg==) ***Nature Communications***, 8, 738.
52. Wang, Haikun, Xi Lu, Yu Deng, Yaoguang Sun, Chris P. Nielsen, Yifan Liu, Ge Zhu, Maoliang Bu, Jun Bi, and Michael B. McElroy. 2019. **[“China’s CO2 peak before 2030 implied from diverse characteristics and growth of cities.”](https://nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0339-6)**  **Nature Sustainability.**
53. Xie, Rong, Clive E. Sabel, Xi Lu, Weimo Zhu, Haidong Kan, Chris P. Nielsen, and Haikun Wang. 2016. **[“Long-term trend and spatial pattern of PM2.5-induced premature mortality in China.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412016303397)**  ***Environment International***, 97, pp. 180-186.
54. Yang, Qing, Hewen Zhou, Xiaoyan Zhang, Chris P. Nielsen, Jiashuo Li, Xi Lu, Haiping Yang, and Hanping Chen. 2018. **[“Hybrid life-cycle assessment for energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions of a typical biomass gasification power plant in China.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652618327550)**  ***Journal of Cleaner Production***, 205, pp. 661-671.
55. Yang, Qing, Ji Liang, Jiashuo Li, Haiping Yang, and Hanping Chen. 2018. **[“Life cycle water use of a biomass-based pyrolysis polygeneration system in China.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261918307025?via=ihub)**  ***Applied Energy***, 224, pp. 469-480.
56. Zhang, Bo, Xueli Zhao, Xiaofang Wu, Mengyao Han, Chenghe Guan, and Shaojie Song. 2018. **[“Consumption-based accounting of global anthropogenic CH4 emissions.”](https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2018EF000917)**  ***Earth’s Future***, 6, 9, pp. 1349-1363.
57. Zhang, Ning, Xi Lu, Chris P. Nielsen, Michael B. McElroy, Xinyu Chen, Yu Deng, and Chongqing Kang. 2016. **[“Reducing curtailment of wind electricity in China by employing electric boilers for heat and pumped hydro for energy storage.”](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261915013896)**  ***Applied Energy***, 184, pp. 987-994.
58. Zhang, Yan, Xin Bo, Yu Zhao, and Chris P. Nielsen. 2019. **[“Benefits of current and future policies on emissions of China's coal-fired power sector indicated by continuous emission monitoring.”](/publications/benefits-current-and-future-policies-emissions-chinas-coal-fired-power)**  **Environmental Pollution**, 251, pp. 415-424.
59. Zhao, Xueli, Rong Ma, Xiaofang Wu, Chenghe Guan, Chris P. Nielsen, and Bo Zhang. Submitted. **“Linking agricultural GHG emissions to global trade network.”** ***Environmental Science & Technology.***
60. Zhong, Nan, Jing Cao, and Yuzhu Wang. 2017. **[“Traffic congestion, ambient air pollution and health: Evidence from driving restrictions in Beijing.”](https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pdfplus/10.1086/692115)**  ***Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists,*** 4, 3, pp. 821–856.